Quotulatiousness

July 12, 2024

New Canadian submarines and icebreakers promised at NATO Summit

Filed under: Cancon, Military — Tags: , , , , , , , — Nicholas @ 05:00

Under reportedly intense pressure from NATO allies, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau grudgingly promises to begin the (usually decades-long) process of purchasing new submarines for the Royal Canadian Navy:

HMCS Victoria
Image via Wikimedia Commons.

The Canadian government announced today it is “taking the first steps” towards buying 12 conventionally-powered, under-ice capable submarines — a massive acquisition with numerous shipbuilders from the around world already eyeing the program reported to be worth at least $60 billion Canadian dollars.

“As the country with the longest coastline in the world, Canada needs a new fleet of submarines — and today, we’ve announced that we will move forward with this acquisition,” Bill Blair, minister of national defence, said in a statement published during the NATO Summit being held this week in Washington, DC. “This new fleet will enable Canada to protect its sovereignty in a changing world, and make valuable, high-end contributions to the security of our partners and NATO allies.”

Canada has been eyeing the acquisition of a new class of submarines to replace its four aging Victoria-class boats since at least April 2023, and Blair himself was the target of criticism earlier this year after he included language about the acquisition in a major defense policy document that critics labeled as “wishy washy”.

In an op-ed for Breaking Defense published ahead of the NATO summit, Blair said that Canada was still pursing the submarine plan, and emphasized that the investment would help his nation cross the 2 percent GDP target.

The government’s press release does not include a price estimate for the program, but the Ottawa Citizen has previously reported that the Royal Canadian Navy tagged the acquisition at $60 billion Canadian dollars ($44 billion USD).

Another item from Breaking Defence details a new trilateral agreement with Finland and the United States to develop a joint design for a “fleet” of icebreakers:

Originally ordered in 2008 for delivery in 2017, the CCGS John G. Diefenbaker is now expected to enter service in 2030.
Canadian Coast Guard conceptual rendering, 2012.

The US, Canada and Finland announced today a new trilateral effort, dubbed the Icebreaker Collaboration Effort or “ICE Pact”, to work together on the production of a “fleet” of new polar icebreakers, in what a US official said was a “strategic imperative” in the race of dominance of the high north.

The initiative, to be formalized in a memorandum of understanding by the end of the year, calls for better information sharing on ship production, collaboration on work force development — including better allowing workers and experts to train at each other’s yards — and an “invitation” to other allies and partners to buy icebreakers from ICE Pact members.

“Due to the capital intensity of shipbuilding, long-term, multi-ship orderbooks are essential to the success of a shipyard,” the White House said in its announcement. “The governments of the United States, Canada, and Finland intend to leverage shipyards in the United States, Canada, and Finland to build polar icebreakers for their own use, as well as to work closely with likeminded allies and partners to build and export polar icebreakers for their needs at speed and affordable cost.”

Ahead of the announcement, White House Deputy National Security Advisor for International Economics Daleep Singh framed the partnership as a commercial and industrial boon, but also one with national security implications: It is, in part, a message to Russia and China that the US and its partners “intend … to project power into the polar regions to enforce international norms and treaties that promote peace and prosperity in the arctic and Antarctic.”

1 Comment

  1. I was looking forward to The Line‘s Matt Gurney’s response to these grudging announcements arm-twisted out of Justin Trudeau, but unfortunately the bulk of it is behind the paywall. Here’s the part I could read:

    I’ve been thinking today of a scene from The Naked Gun, a cop spoof movie from 1988, starring the incredible Leslie Nielsen as Det. Lt. Frank Drebbin, of Police Squad. He’s been picked up from the airport by his captain, played completely straight by George Kennedy, and they’re driving to the hospital to visit a colleague (awkwardly, with hindsight, played by O.J. Simpson) who has been wounded in the line of duty. As the men are driving along, Drebbin asks how the fallen officer is, and the captain says to him solemnly, “Doctors say he’s got a 50-50 chance of living.” There’s a pause, and then the captain adds: “Though there’s only a 10-per-cent chance of that.”

    It’s a typically nonsensical line from one of my favourite movies, but it actually came to mind for a serious reason on Thursday when Canada announced that it had a plan to hit NATO’s two-per-cent-of-GDP spending target. That’s true, technically. We have a plan … but it’s really more of a plan to eventually have plans. The whole thing really is something perhaps better announced by a late, great Canadian comedy icon than our prime minister, but here we are.

    It’s easy to be cynical about Canadian defence policy. I am cynical about our defence policy. But it’s healthy to every once in a while take a moment to reflect on what good news there has been. So let’s start with that. Over the last few years, this government has made a series of defence spending announcements, and some of those procurements have been completed. We finally replaced the goddamned 9mm pistols. We have begun construction of our next generation of major surface warships. We have replaced the prime minister’s jet with something a little bit less decrepit, and ordered some extra transport jets and refuellers, too, though those will enter service later. There have been announcements for naval patrol planes and drones and more. These procurements, if realized, would be good news, long overdue, and I do/would welcome them.

    And in a similar spirit of praise, it is important to note that even though Canada has lagged behind the NATO spending target, we have increased defence spending, albeit gradually. This government has responded to the declining state of global security by spending more on defence. Not enough, not fast enough, but progress has been made and we should acknowledge that.

    So yeah. That’s the good news, and the expression of gratitude. We have acquired new equipment and say we’ll acquire yet more. Good!

    And now, alas, the bad…

    Comment by Nicholas — July 12, 2024 @ 14:04

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