Jay Currie has already wasted his vote at the advanced polls (the same way I’m going to waste mine come election day), and now he’s considering what our parliament will look like on October 22nd (here’s a hint … we both know our guy isn’t going to be PM):
On October 22 we’re going to wake up to a politically very different Canada assuming that JT is unable to win a majority. The first thing which will change is Trudeau’s position. He could be Mr. Dressup with a majority but in a minority position – assuming he can form a government at all – his Teflon coating will have worn off. It is just possible that the bought and paid for Canadian media will rouse itself from its slumber and begin to ask slightly harder questions.
The second thing which will change is that third, fourth and even fifth parties will matter. For Trudeau to form a government he will need at least the NDP’s support and, perhaps, the Greens. To get that he is going to have to buy into a lot of nonsense which will be extremely bad for the country. The Liberals have plenty of idiotic policy but they don’t hold a candle to either the NDP or the Greens for economically useless virtue signalling.
Scheer would have an easier time of it in a minority position. His only possible ally would be the Bloc and while the Bloc wants to break up Canada they are financially sound and not nearly as eager as the NDP or the Greens for open borders and looney carbon taxes.
The key thing to remember is that regardless of who forms the government, that government is not going to last very long. In a sense, this election is about the next, more decisive, election. If Trudeau loses as big as he looks to be doing the Liberal Party will be looking for another leader. If Scheer ekes out a workable minority he will be looking to call an early election (in the face of the idiotic Fixed Terms act we have saddled ourselves with) to crush that new leader.
For Singh, especially if he picks up seats as well as popular vote, the election will cement his place as the NDP leader and silence the people who are talking about his unelectability. Lizzie May will be hailed as an emerging force in Canadian politics if she manages to pick up a couple more seats on Vancouver Island and, I suspect, that is exactly what she is going to do. (Old, white, retired, rich people just love a party committed to never changing anything.)
And what about Max? Obviously, he needs to hold his own seat. Which may be tough but I think he will pull through. I very much doubt he will win any other seats for a variety of reasons having nothing to do with Max or his policies. New parties take a while to gain traction. For Max, the biggest issue is how he does in the popular vote. Sitting at 1% is not going to cut it, but pop up over 4% and the table changes. Anything beyond that and Max will be the election night story.
If Max can break through 4-5% it’s game on. What my vote was saying is that I want a real conservative alternative. This is all about the next election. Which may be in a year or two.
Plus, it was tons of fun to vote FOR someone rather than picking the lesser of the evils.
Comment by Jay Currie — October 15, 2019 @ 03:38
The moment they allowed Max into the debate, I figured the Liberals’ internal polling had started to go sour and they were hoping Max would draw off support from the Milk Dud and his Conservaliberal party. They’ve ignored him for so long that it will be hard for anyone who hasn’t been paying attention to politics — easily 75-90% of the voters — to not have heard enough about him or the PPC to decide proactively to vote for him. I’d be ecstatic if the PPC managed 5% nationally on that basis.
Comment by Nicholas — October 15, 2019 @ 08:13
If that’s what you call voting with your head and voting for the only sense able person to vote for, then yes I will also be wasting my vote. Enough is enough. We people of the PPC have a lot of work to do in the next 4 years. We need to get the word out so that Max will be the PM in 2023.
Comment by Roger Peters — October 19, 2019 @ 02:33