Quotulatiousness

September 12, 2011

Is the People’s Liberation Army a paper tiger?

Filed under: China, Economics, Military, Weapons — Tags: , , , — Nicholas @ 09:36

An interesting article at Strategy Page looks at the myth and reality of China’s army and navy:

You don’t see much in the media about the poor training of Chinese military personnel. You don’t hear much about the poor leadership and low readiness for combat. But all of this is common knowledge in China. There, the military is not walled off from everyone else. Cell phone cameras and the Internet make it easy to pass around evidence (often in the form of “hey, this one is hilarious”). The government tries to play up how modern and efficient the military is, but most Chinese know better, and don’t really care. China is winning victories on the economic front, and that what really counts to the average Chinese.

Meanwhile, U.S. military leaders and defense industries are looking for a sufficiently impressive foe to help scare more money out of Congress. The Chinese Navy (or, more correctly, the Chinese Peoples’ Liberation Army Navy) is now the favorite candidate, for navy and defense industry analysts, to become the new Big Bad. Just how dangerous are these Chinese sailors and their ships? It turns out that, on closer inspection, not very.

This is the sort of thing that what went on during the Cold War. Russian military prowess was hyped by the American military, and their defense suppliers, to justify further increases in defense spending. When the Cold War ended, it was revealed how the Russian military, and defense manufacturers, played the same game. It also revealed that Russian military capabilities were far less than the hype indicated.

The basic weapon for this sort of thing is FUD (Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt). Works every time, although it is difficult to pitch the Chinese navy as a crack force. Most of their ships are elderly, poorly designed and rarely used. Their nuclear subs are worse than the first generation of Russian nukes back in the 1960s. The most modern Chinese ships are Russian made, Cold War era models. Chinese ships don’t go to sea much, not just because it’s expensive, but because Chinese ships tend to get involved in nasty incidents. Like the submarine that killed its crew when the boat submerged (and the diesel engines did not shut down when the batteries kicked in, thus using up all the oxygen.) Breakdowns are more common, as well as a lot of accidents you don’t hear about (weapons and equipment malfunctions that kill and maim.) Nevertheless, the Chinese are working to change this. Ships are going to sea more each year, and troops are getting more training. But unless the corruption is curbed, this could all be wasted.

Of course, if China isn’t the big military threat to the rest of the world, how will the Pentagon get Congress to go along with its perpetual demands for more funding?

2 Comments

  1. Look up “graveyard, whistling past the” and the definition links to this article!

    Comment by Lickmuffin — September 12, 2011 @ 17:07

  2. Sure, China’s military forces are not as impressive as they (and the US defence industry) would like for us to believe. But the article is awash in it’s own howlers, i.e.:

    “The most modern Chinese ships are Russian made, Cold War era models.”

    That is an egregious error of fact. The most modern Chinese warship is the Type 052C guided-missile destroyer, and it is indigenously designed and built. The 052C have modern CODOG propulsion, VLS launchers, big AESA billboards and integrated fire control systems just like US AEGIS ships. It is closest in design and mission to the Arleigh Burke class, and frankly is probably a better surface combatant design than anything Russia has built in the past 12 years.

    China might not be a scary pit bull just yet, but it’s not a chihuahua either.

    Comment by Chris Taylor — September 13, 2011 @ 02:43

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.

Powered by WordPress