{"id":80457,"date":"2023-03-04T04:00:01","date_gmt":"2023-03-04T09:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/?p=80457"},"modified":"2023-03-03T17:10:33","modified_gmt":"2023-03-03T22:10:33","slug":"persistent-fantasies-about-lost-ice-age-civilizations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/2023\/03\/04\/persistent-fantasies-about-lost-ice-age-civilizations\/","title":{"rendered":"Persistent fantasies about lost Ice Age civilizations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When I was a teen, there seemed to be a lot of pop-sci books on the racks at our local variety store pushing various notions about &#8220;highly advanced&#8221; but lost civilizations, often attributing things like UFO sightings to these imagined prehistoric groups and tying various conspiracy theories back to them. At <em>Astral Codex Ten<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/astralcodexten.substack.com\/p\/against-ice-age-civilizations\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Scott Alexander<\/a> argues against today&#8217;s fans of such unlikely scenarios:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>You can separate these kinds of claims into three categories:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Civilizations about as advanced as the people who built Stonehenge<\/li>\n<li>Civilizations about as advanced as Pharaonic Egypt<\/li>\n<li>Civilizations about as advanced as 1700s Great Britain<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The debate is confused by people doing a bad job clarifying which of these categories they&#8217;re proposing, or not being aware that the other categories exist.<\/p>\n<p>2 and 3 aren&#8217;t straw men. Robert Schoch says the Sphinx was built in 9700 BC, which I think qualifies as 2. Graham Hancock suggests &#8220;ancient sea kings&#8221; drew the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Piri_Reis_map\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Piri Reis map<\/a> which seems to depict Antarctica; anyone who can explore Antarctica must be at least close to 1700s-British level.<\/p>\n<p>I think there&#8217;s weak evidence against level 1 civilizations, and strong evidence against level 2 or 3 civilizations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Argument 1: Where Are The Sites?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Supporters of ice age civilizations argue that sea level rose 120 meters as the Ice Age glaciers melted, flooding low-lying coasts and destroying any evidence of coastal civilizations. <\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_80458\" style=\"width: 863px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-80458\" src=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations-853x514.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"853\" height=\"514\" class=\"size-large wp-image-80458\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations-853x514.png 853w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations-480x289.png 480w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations-150x90.png 150w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations-768x463.png 768w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Screenshot-2023-03-04-at-16-59-16-Against-Ice-Age-Civilizations.png 1069w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-80458\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Areas likely above water during the Ice Age are in orange-brown (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikiversity.org\/wiki\/Continental_shelves\/Mediterranean\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>What would happen to the ancient civilizations we know about if sea level rose an additional 120m? We would lose Babylon, Rome, and most of Egypt. But:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Acropolis of Athens is 150m above sea level, and would be preserved for future archaeologists. Sparta (200m) and Thebes (250m) would also be fine.<\/li>\n<li>The Hittite capital of Hattusa is almost 1,000m above sea level and would be totally unaffected.<\/li>\n<li>The two biggest cities in Assyria, Ashur and Nineveh, would both make it.<\/li>\n<li>Zhengzhou, the capital of the Shang in ancient Chinese, would survive.<\/li>\n<li>Mohenjo-Daro would sink, but Harappa would be fine.<\/li>\n<li>Basically nobody in Elam\/Medea\/Persia would even notice.<\/li>\n<li>The top 80m of the Great Pyramid would rise above the waterline, forming a little island. The part of the Pyramid above the water would still be taller than the entire Leaning Tower of Pisa. It would be pretty hard to miss!<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So a 120m sea level rise wouldn&#8217;t be enough to wipe out evidence of our crop of ancient civilizations, and shouldn&#8217;t be enough to wipe out evidence of a previous crop, unless they had a very different geographic distribution than ours. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When I was a teen, there seemed to be a lot of pop-sci books on the racks at our local variety store pushing various notions about &#8220;highly advanced&#8221; but lost civilizations, often attributing things like UFO sightings to these imagined prehistoric groups and tying various conspiracy theories back to them. At Astral Codex Ten, Scott [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35193,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[65,7,16],"tags":[288,495,245],"class_list":["post-80457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","category-history","category-science","tag-archaeology","tag-civilization","tag-climatechange"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/favicon.png","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2hpV6-kVH","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80457","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80457"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80457\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80459,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80457\/revisions\/80459"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}