{"id":59991,"date":"2020-09-02T03:00:39","date_gmt":"2020-09-02T07:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/?p=59991"},"modified":"2020-09-01T11:55:52","modified_gmt":"2020-09-01T15:55:52","slug":"cold-war-2-0-youre-soaking-in-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/2020\/09\/02\/cold-war-2-0-youre-soaking-in-it\/","title":{"rendered":"Cold War 2.0 &mdash; you&#8217;re soaking in it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/coloneltedcampbell.blog\/2020\/09\/01\/preparing-for-cold-war-2-0\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Ted Campbell<\/a> responds to a recent article in <em>Foreign Affairs<\/em> by Nadia Schadlow:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Dr Schadlow posits that &#8220;A new set of assumptions should underpin U.S. foreign policy &#8230; [and, concomitantly, the foreign polices of the US led West, including Canada&#8217;s, because] &#8230; Contrary to the optimistic predictions made in the wake of the Soviet Union&#8217;s collapse, widespread political liberalization and the growth of transnational organizations have not tempered rivalries among countries. Likewise, globalization and economic interdependence have not been unalloyed goods; often, they have generated unanticipated inequalities and vulnerabilities [and] although the proliferation of digital technologies has increased productivity and brought other benefits, it has also eroded the U.S. military&#8217;s advantages and posed challenges to democratic societies.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>After outlining the rosy assumption made by leaders and policy makers from Richard Nixon through Bill Clinton to Barack Obama ~ assumption which I shared, Nadia Schadlow says that &#8220;China had no intention of converging with the West [because] The Chinese Communist Party never intended to play by the West&#8217;s rules; it was determined to control markets rather than open them, and it did so by keeping its exchange rate artificially low, providing unfair advantages to state-owned enterprises, and erecting regulatory barriers against non-Chinese companies. Officials in both the George W. Bush and the Obama administrations worried about China&#8217;s intentions. But fundamentally, they remained convinced that the United States needed to engage with China to strengthen the rules-based international system and that China&#8217;s economic liberalization would ultimately lead to political liberalization. Instead, China has continued to take advantage of economic interdependence to grow its economy and enhance its military, thereby ensuring the long-term strength of the CCP.&#8221; Of course, from a Chinese perspective it might, very reasonably, appear that the liberal, US made (in the late 1940s) &#8220;rules based international system&#8221; was, in fact, designed to strengthen the US economy and enhance its military and ensure America\u2019s long term strength \u2026 and that is not, many would say, a totally unreasonable view.<\/p>\n<p>[&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p>America\u2019s allies, including Canada, need to step up and help the USA (and India) with the containment of both China and Russia in several regions: in Asia, Africa, the Middle East and Europe, too. Canada is a G-7 nation. It needs to start acting like one.<\/p>\n<p>Australians, Brits, Canadians and Danes need not share Dr Schadlow&#8217;s Trumpian view of the world and of Cold War 2.0 to understand that:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>It is here. We are in it, like it or not; and<\/li>\n<li>Like its predecessor, it can turn hot if we do not manage it with care.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Now, at this time, the conventional wisdom is that foreign and defence policy must take a back seat to beating COVID-19 and restarting the economy. But, the Chinese and the Russians are not putting their plans on hold while they deal with the pandemic. (Maybe that&#8217;s why Justin Trudeau admires China&#8217;s &#8220;basic dictatorship&#8221; so much.) They will both be moving ahead with plans that aim to put the US-led West, including Canada, at a disadvantage. Additionally, now is a good time to announce plans to build more new warships ~ two or three large helicopter carriers, another supply ship (for a total of four) 16 major surface combatants (the new Type 26 ships) and a dozen smaller corvettes &#8230; can be and politicians should say will be built here in Canada, by Canadian workers. Defence related projects, when well conceived and directed, can be great long-term job creators. Canada can do both: speed up our recovery from the pandemic and strengthen our global position by making defence procurement a priority for the recovery.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div id=\"attachment_39433\" style=\"width: 863px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Type-26-Global-Combat-Ship-by-BAE-Systems.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39433\" src=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Type-26-Global-Combat-Ship-by-BAE-Systems-853x391.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"853\" height=\"391\" class=\"size-large wp-image-39433\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Type-26-Global-Combat-Ship-by-BAE-Systems.png 853w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Type-26-Global-Combat-Ship-by-BAE-Systems-150x69.png 150w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Type-26-Global-Combat-Ship-by-BAE-Systems-480x220.png 480w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/Type-26-Global-Combat-Ship-by-BAE-Systems-768x352.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-39433\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">An artist&#8217;s rendition of BAE&#8217;s Type 26 Global Combat Ship, which was selected as the Canadian Surface Combatant design in 2019, the most recent &#8220;largest single expenditure in Canadian government history&#8221; (as all major weapon systems purchases tend to be).<br \/>(BAE Systems, via Flickr)<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ted Campbell responds to a recent article in Foreign Affairs by Nadia Schadlow: Dr Schadlow posits that &#8220;A new set of assumptions should underpin U.S. foreign policy &#8230; [and, concomitantly, the foreign polices of the US led West, including Canada&#8217;s, because] &#8230; Contrary to the optimistic predictions made in the wake of the Soviet Union&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35193,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,22,25,5,13],"tags":[1381,1037,1202,887,266,1363],"class_list":["post-59991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cancon","category-china","category-economics","category-military","category-usa","tag-coldwar2","tag-donaldtrump","tag-epidemic","tag-justintrudeau","tag-protectionism","tag-wuhancoronavirus"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/favicon.png","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2hpV6-fBB","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59991"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59991\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59992,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59991\/revisions\/59992"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}