{"id":54824,"date":"2020-02-07T03:00:11","date_gmt":"2020-02-07T08:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/?p=54824"},"modified":"2022-03-30T13:47:12","modified_gmt":"2022-03-30T17:47:12","slug":"modern-day-kremlinology-and-show-trials","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/2020\/02\/07\/modern-day-kremlinology-and-show-trials\/","title":{"rendered":"Modern day Kremlinology and show trials"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At <em>Rotten Chestnuts<\/em>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rottenchestnuts.com\/feckless-weasels\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Severian<\/a> explains why the Soviet Union&#8217;s Moscow Trials were so important well outside the borders of the USSR:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_53253\" style=\"width: 863px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-53253\" src=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life-853x571.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"853\" height=\"571\" class=\"size-large wp-image-53253\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life-853x571.jpg 853w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life-480x321.jpg 480w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life-768x514.jpg 768w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Krushchev-Brezhnev-and-Soviet-leaders-1962-Life.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-53253\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Krushchev, Brezhnev and other Soviet leaders review the Revolution parade in Red Square, 1962.<br \/><em>LIFE<\/em> magazine photo by Stan Wayman.<\/p><\/div>\n<blockquote><p>It&#8217;s not much of an exaggeration to say that the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Moscow_Trials\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Moscow Trials<\/a> set the course of 20th century history.  If you want to be a dictator in peacetime, this is pretty much how you have to do it \u2014 see e.g. every other Communist regime ever. The downside, though, is that you cost yourself a lot of irreplaceable technical expertise. I&#8217;m not saying Hitler would&#8217;ve called Barbarossa off if Stalin hadn&#8217;t purged all his generals \u2014 Hitler was, of course, crazy \u2014 but he surely would&#8217;ve thought twice about it, the plan relying as it did on the utter incompetence of the now-leaderless Red Army.<\/p>\n<p>The show trials also gave birth to &#8220;Kremlinology&#8221;, the art and science of reading Soviet tea leaves to find out who&#8217;s <em>really<\/em> in charge. Stalin didn\u2019t invent &#8220;elimination by promotion&#8221;, but he was a master of it. In Stalin&#8217;s USSR, being &#8220;promoted&#8221; to some big, important-sounding position was an all-but-guarantee that you&#8217;re going to get shot. Seemingly minor functionaries, on the other hand, really ran things in the countryside. E.g. <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nikita_Khrushchev#World_War_II\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Khrushchev<\/a>, a Red Army commissar \u2014 not an unimportant position by any means, but hardly a glory post either. Stalin&#8217;s generals knew who he was, but few outside the Red Army&#8217;s high command did. And since Stalin liked to signal major policy shifts with articles in obscure publications \u2014 he once wrote <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Marxism_and_Problems_of_Linguistics\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">an article on <em>lingustics<\/em><\/a> that previewed some huge change \u2014 you had to be very wired in to figure out who was really a comer.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s imagine, then, that somehow the Moscow Show Trials <em>failed<\/em>. That <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Grigory_Zinoviev\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Zinoviev<\/a>, say, was acquitted, because (take your pick) he&#8217;d obviously been tortured, the charges were ludicrous, there was zero hard evidence against him, or any combination of the above. Stalin staked his entire position on the outcome of the Trials. What if he&#8217;d lost? How long do you think the Boss would&#8217;ve remained Boss? A few weeks? A few days? Hours, maybe?<\/p>\n<p>Nancy Pelosi is no Stalin, of course, but whoever survives November&#8217;s electoral bloodbath had better start working on <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/On_the_Cult_of_Personality_and_Its_Consequences\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Secret Speech<\/a> 2.0 the very second the last vote is counted. I was doubtful about the 2020 presidential election until they actually decided to show-trial Donald Trump. Since there&#8217;s no way in hell they&#8217;re going to get a 2\/3 majority to vote to convict, the whole thing looks like not just a witch hunt, but a <em>botched<\/em> witch hunt. No one, not even Koba the Dread, is politically strong enough to survive one of those.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At Rotten Chestnuts, Severian explains why the Soviet Union&#8217;s Moscow Trials were so important well outside the borders of the USSR: It&#8217;s not much of an exaggeration to say that the Moscow Trials set the course of 20th century history. If you want to be a dictator in peacetime, this is pretty much how you [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35193,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[84,7,53,1119,13],"tags":[768,1037,188,1462,433,1165],"class_list":["post-54824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-government","category-history","category-politics","category-russia","category-usa","tag-democrat","tag-donaldtrump","tag-electionwatch","tag-severian","tag-sovietunion","tag-stalin"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/favicon.png","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2hpV6-egg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54824","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54824"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54824\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54825,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54824\/revisions\/54825"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54824"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54824"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54824"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}