{"id":27630,"date":"2014-08-31T11:20:37","date_gmt":"2014-08-31T16:20:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/?p=27630"},"modified":"2014-08-31T11:20:37","modified_gmt":"2014-08-31T16:20:37","slug":"politispeak-describing-a-slower-rate-of-increase-as-an-absolute-cut-in-funding","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/2014\/08\/31\/politispeak-describing-a-slower-rate-of-increase-as-an-absolute-cut-in-funding\/","title":{"rendered":"Politispeak – describing a slower rate of increase as an absolute cut in funding"},"content":{"rendered":"

Paul Wells says the almost forgotten leader of Her Majesty’s loyal opposition<\/a> in Parliament is doing his job, but illustrates it with a great example of how political rhetoric sometimes warps reality in favour of a more headline-worthy claim:<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s what he said: \u201cAfter promising to protect all future increases to provincial transfers, Conservatives announced plans to cut $36 billion, starting in 2016,\u201d Mulcair told the CMA. \u201cThis spring, Conservatives will announce, with great fanfare, that there is now a budget surplus. I\u2019m here today to tell you that an NDP government would use any such surplus to, first and foremost, cancel those proposed cuts to health care.\u201d<\/p>\n

This needs parsing, but first, let\u2019s let Mulcair finish: \u201cMr. Harper, it\u2019s time to keep your word to protect Canadian health care. After giving Canada\u2019s richest corporations $50 billion in tax breaks, don\u2019t you dare take $36 billion out of health care to pay for them!\u201d He said that part in English, then repeated it in French, which has become the way a Canadian politician delivers a line in italics.<\/p>\n

Well. Let\u2019s begin with the $36 billion. In December 2011, Jim Flaherty, then the federal finance minister, met his provincial colleagues to announce his plans for health transfers after a 10-year deal set by Paul Martin ran out in 2013-14. The 2004 Martin deal declared that cash transfers to the provinces for health care would increase by six per cent a year for 10 years. Harper simply kept implementing the Martin scheme after he became Prime Minister.<\/p>\n

What Flaherty announced, without consulting with the provinces first, was that health transfers would keep growing at six per cent through 2016-17. Then, they would grow more slowly \u2014 how slowly would depend on the economy. The faster GDP grows, the faster transfers would grow. But, if the economy tanked, the rate of growth could fall as low as three per cent per year. Flaherty said this scheme would stay in place through 2023-24.<\/p>\n

Add up all the shortfalls between three per cent and six per cent over seven years and you get a cumulative sum of $36 billion. Despite what Mulcair said, this isn\u2019t a \u201ccut,\u201d it\u2019s a deceleration in increases. And $36 billion is the gap\u2019s maximum amount. If the economy shows any health, the gap will be smaller.<\/p>\n

We could have fun complaining that Mulcair calls something a \u201ccut\u201d when it extends what is already the longest period of growth in federal transfer payments in Mulcair\u2019s lifetime<\/strong>. But it\u2019s more fun to take him at his word. He promises to spend as much as $6 billion a year in new tax money on health care. Mulcair couldn\u2019t buy much influence over health policy with that money; he would simply send larger cheques to provincial governments. If he has other plans for the federal government, he\u2019d have to pay for them after he\u2019d sent that up-to $6-billion cheque to the provinces.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Emphasis mine.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Paul Wells says the almost forgotten leader of Her Majesty’s loyal opposition in Parliament is doing his job, but illustrates it with a great example of how political rhetoric sometimes warps reality in favour of a more headline-worthy claim: Here\u2019s what he said: \u201cAfter promising to protect all future increases to provincial transfers, Conservatives announced […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,84,66,53],"tags":[798,258,118,802],"class_list":["post-27630","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cancon","category-government","category-health-science","category-politics","tag-ndp","tag-stephenharper","tag-taxes","tag-thomasmulcair"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2hpV6-7bE","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27630","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27630"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27630\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27631,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27630\/revisions\/27631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27630"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27630"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27630"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}