{"id":25945,"date":"2015-01-26T01:00:26","date_gmt":"2015-01-26T06:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/?p=25945"},"modified":"2015-01-21T23:38:52","modified_gmt":"2015-01-22T04:38:52","slug":"qotd-against-the-human-development-index-hdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/2015\/01\/26\/qotd-against-the-human-development-index-hdi\/","title":{"rendered":"QotD: Against the Human Development Index (HDI)"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>[W]hat exactly is the HDI? The one-line explanation is that it gives &#8220;equal weights&#8221; to GDP per capita, life expectancy, and education. But it&#8217;s more complicated than that, because scores on each of the three measures are bounded between 0 and 1. This effectively means that a country of immortals with infinite per-capita GDP would get a score of .666 (lower than South Africa and Tajikistan) if its population were illiterate and never went to school.<\/p>\n<p>So what are the main problems with the HDI?<\/p>\n<p>1. I can see giving equal weights to GDP per capita and life expectancy. But education? As a professor and a snob, I understand the appeal (though a measure of opera consumption would be even better). But in terms of the actual if not professed values of normal human beings, televisions and cars are a lot more important than books.<\/p>\n<p>2. When you take a closer look at the HDI&#8217;s education measure, it&#8217;s especially bogus. 2\/3rds of the weight comes from the literacy rate. At least that&#8217;s not ridiculous. But the other 1\/3 comes from the Gross Enrollment Index &mdash; the fraction of the population enrolled in primary, secondary, or tertiary education. OK, I feel a <em>reductio ad absurdum<\/em> coming on. To max out your education score, you have to turn 100% of your population into students!<\/p>\n<p>3. The HDI purportedly gives equal weights to three different outcomes, but bounding the results between 0 and 1 builds in a massive bias against GDP. GDP per capita has grown fantastically during the last two centuries, and will continue to do so. In reality, there&#8217;s plenty of room left for further improvement even in rich countries. But the HDI doesn&#8217;t allow this. Since rich countries are already close to the upper bound, the HDI effectively defines their future progress on this dimension out of existence. <\/p>\n<p>To a lesser extent, the same goes for life expectancy: While it&#8217;s roughly doubled over the last two centuries, dying at 85 is not, contrary to the HDI, approximately equal in value to immortality.<\/p>\n<p>The clear winners from this weighting scheme, of course, are the literacy and enrollment measures, both of which have upper bounds that are imposed by logic rather than fiat.<\/p>\n<p>4. The ultimate problem with the HDI, though, is lack of ambition. It effectively proclaims an &#8220;end of history&#8221; where Scandinavia is the pinnacle of human achievement. [&#8230;] Scandinavia comes out on top according to the HDI because the HDI is basically a measure of how Scandinavian your country is.<\/p>\n<p>Bryan Caplan, <a href=\"http:\/\/econlog.econlib.org\/archives\/2009\/05\/against_the_hum.html\" target=\"_blank\">&#8220;Against the Human Development Index&#8221;, <em>Econlog<\/em><\/a>, 2009-05-22.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[W]hat exactly is the HDI? The one-line explanation is that it gives &#8220;equal weights&#8221; to GDP per capita, life expectancy, and education. But it&#8217;s more complicated than that, because scores on each of the three measures are bounded between 0 and 1. This effectively means that a country of immortals with infinite per-capita GDP would [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,79,41],"tags":[244,315],"class_list":["post-25945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-education","category-quotations","tag-publichealth","tag-wealth"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2hpV6-6Kt","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25945","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25945"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25945\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25946,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25945\/revisions\/25946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}