{"id":101596,"date":"2026-03-29T05:00:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T09:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/?p=101596"},"modified":"2026-03-31T09:22:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T13:22:14","slug":"the-collapse-of-the-afghan-national-army-in-2021-was-inevitable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/2026\/03\/29\/the-collapse-of-the-afghan-national-army-in-2021-was-inevitable\/","title":{"rendered":"The collapse of the Afghan National Army in 2021 was inevitable"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On the social media site formerly known as <em>Twitter<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/infantrydort\/status\/2037729723078316410\" target=\"_blank\">InfantryDort<\/a> explains why the way that soldiers were <em>required<\/em> to cover up ANA shortcomings or even blatantly lie about the ANA&#8217;s military capabilities show that collapse was inevitable once western forces began to pull out:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_67735\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-67735\" src=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815-480x252.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"480\" height=\"252\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-67735\" srcset=\"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815-480x252.jpg 480w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815-853x448.jpg 853w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815-150x79.jpg 150w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/US-embassy-evacuation-Kabul-20210815.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-67735\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A Boeing CH-47 Chinook transport helicopter appears over the U.S. embassy compound in Kabul, 15 Aug 2021. Image from Twitter via libertyunyielding.com<\/p><\/div>\n<blockquote><p>I always get confused when I hear people say they never saw the collapse of the Afghan military coming.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone who&#8217;s been on the ground with them knew this.<\/p>\n<p>I saw an entire ANA battalion with modern American equipment get pinned down by 3 Taliban with AKs. Begging me for air support. <\/p>\n<p>How was this a surprise?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/infantrydort\/status\/2037850065625047379\" target=\"_blank\">further<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>When it came to partnering with Afghans, I was actually convinced for awhile that their failure was my fault. Why? Because that\u2019s what our superiors told us.<\/p>\n<p>I remember giving honest assessments in formal reports about the capabilities of Afghans.  It led to many confrontations with superiors across different tours.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You can&#8217;t write that they don&#8217;t do X, Y, or Z in this SITREP. Don&#8217;t you know every failure is yours and every success is theirs?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>That was the mantra. Every failure was ours and every success theirs. And I believed it.<\/p>\n<p>The military intellectual crowd was in charge at the time. The ones who hate us now for noticing their inadequacies.<\/p>\n<p>The ones who made us think that we could succeed if we made just one more measure of performance and measure of effectiveness to implement.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe we could make that barbarian culture better by just doing one more intellectual thing.<\/p>\n<p>No. And it&#8217;s those same people who punished us for telling the truth. And they should be shamed for it in perpetuity.<\/p>\n<p>Senior leaders in 2021 acted stunned at how the Afghans fell so fast. Nobody could believe it.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe they were stunned because the truth had been filtered for decades. Laundered. And for what?<\/p>\n<p>Lies. All lies. And they were peddled by the most &#8220;intelligent&#8221; military leaders among us.<\/p>\n<p>So if you&#8217;re part of that crowd and are now uncomfortable with the current backlash from &#8220;idiots&#8221; like me. I simply ask, why?<\/p>\n<p>You earned it.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Forcing subordinates to lie doesn&#8217;t change the reality they&#8217;re trying to inform you about, it just makes the point where reality asserts itself that much more surprising and painful. True in business, <em>especially<\/em> true in the military.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update, 31 March<\/strong>: Welcome, <em>Instapundit<\/em> readers! Have a look around at some of my other posts you may find of interest. I send out a daily summary of posts here through my <em>Substack<\/em> \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@nicholasrusson\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/substack.com\/@nicholasrusson<\/a> that you can subscribe to if you&#8217;d like to be informed of new posts in the future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On the social media site formerly known as Twitter, InfantryDort explains why the way that soldiers were required to cover up ANA shortcomings or even blatantly lie about the ANA&#8217;s military capabilities show that collapse was inevitable once western forces began to pull out: I always get confused when I hear people say they never [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,7,5,13],"tags":[218,31,156,1433],"class_list":["post-101596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-asia","category-history","category-military","category-usa","tag-afghanistan","tag-army","tag-fail","tag-kabul"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2hpV6-qqE","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101596"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101596\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":101635,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101596\/revisions\/101635"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quotulatiousness.ca\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}