The most useful polling right now is coming from Nanos Research, who are conducting daily summaries of the previous three-day trend. After getting slapped around by the press much of last week, the Conservatives are . . . the only party making gains over the last three days:
- Conservative: 42%, up 1.6%
- Liberal: 28%, down 1%
- NDP: 16%, down 0.5%
- Bloc Quebecois: 8%, unchanged
- Green: 4%, down 0.2%
The Twitter reactions are . . . surprised. Paul Wells “If the Conservatives lost week one and gained four points, the Liberals can’t afford to win many more weeks.” Andrew Coyne “Another such victory and I come back to Epirus alone.”
Updating the non-scientific, unbalanced sample of published polls: