Quotulatiousness

August 7, 2009

The error of being generous to your opponents

Filed under: Economics, Government, Health, USA — Tags: , — Nicholas @ 12:48

Megan McArdle is called to task for making a mistake . . . through being too generous to her opponents:

I erred so low because I was trying to be charitable to the cause of national health care. You see, the reason that insurance premia are so high in New York State is that New York State enjoys community rating, guaranteed issue, and a very generous bevy of mandatory services. The result is that the cost of insurance is very, very high. What I failed to realize was just how radically out of line New York’s rules had pushed its health care costs. The average premium across the United States has increased about 25% since 2004. In New York, the rate of inflation has apparently been about 16 times that. I wasn’t “aware” that insurance premiums have doubled and tripled over the last seven years, because for the country as a whole, this isn’t true.

So yes, John, the Atlantic’s economics expert didn’t realize just how much the kind of regulations Democrats are now pushing had managed to screw up New York’s health insurance market. In trying, while writing a blog post on the fly, to err on the side of charity towards my ideological opponents, I grossly misled my readers. Massive state interference in the insurance market is clearly much, much worse than I — the eternal pessimist! — managed to imagine. Thanks for calling that oversight to my attention.

Observe and report, citizen!

Filed under: Government, Politics, USA — Tags: , , — Nicholas @ 12:37

No more manned fighters? This is not a repost from 1957

Filed under: Britain, History, Military — Tags: , , — Nicholas @ 08:01

Back in the depths of the cold war, the British Minister of Defence proclaimed that the end was in sight for manned fighter aircraft, and that automation was rapidly making humans obsolete in the cockpit. A few generations on, another British minister is saying the same thing, with a bit more chance of being proven correct:

In a bizarre repeat of history, a British defence minister has given it as his opinion that we are currently witnessing development of the final generation of manned combat aircraft. The comments made last week by Quentin Davies MP echo those made in a 1957 government white paper by the then Defence minister, Duncan Sandys.

Mr Davies, minister for Defence Equipment and Support, made his new “last of the manned fighters” comments at an Unmanned Air Systems exhibition held on Friday at the London headquarters of the Ministry of Defence (MoD).

“My own working assumption is that although we certainly need the manned combat aircraft, and are investing in some very good ones at the moment… that will take us through to the 2030s, but beyond that I think the name of the game will be UAVs [Unmanned Aerial Vehicles],” he said.

To be fair, the view from 1957 was not as dazed and confused as it might appear to be in hindsight. It was only 13 years after the start of the first widespread and successful cruise missile attacks (Nazi Germany’s V-1 “buzz bombs”), and in the middle of the nuclear arms race. Strategic bombing was still the way wars were expected to be won . . . and with thermonuclear warheads, it was likely to be a final war for all concerned. Flying fighter aircraft was seen to be a relic of the second world war, and an expensive relic at that.

DDoS attacks target one pro-Georgian user

Filed under: Russia, Technology — Tags: , , — Nicholas @ 07:35

I find this hard to credit, but CBS says that yesterday’s distributed denial-of-service attacks on Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, Blogger, and LiveJournal were all aimed at one particular user:

The blogger, who uses the account name “Cyxymu,” (the name of a town in the Republic of Georgia) had accounts on all of the different sites that were attacked at the same time, Max Kelly, chief security officer at Facebook, told CNET News.

“It was a simultaneous attack across a number of properties targeting him to keep his voice from being heard,” Kelly said. “We’re actively investigating the source of the attacks and we hope to be able to find out the individuals involved in the back end and to take action against them if we can.”

Kelly declined to speculate on whether Russian nationalists were behind the attack, but said: “You have to ask who would benefit the most from doing this and think about what those people are doing and the disregard for the rest of the users and the Internet.”

Twitter was down for several hours beginning early Thursday morning, and suffered periodic slowness and time-outs throughout the day.

If it turns out that this is true, I guess it’ll be easier to start looking for the controller of the massive botnet that conducted the attacks . . . and probably has a physical presence near the Kremlin.

Update: The Guardian has more on the story.

QotD: It’s not insurance, it’s welfare

Filed under: Health, Quotations — Tags: , — Nicholas @ 00:06

Have [New York Times writers and editors] no understanding of risk management? If it is controversial for health insurers to reject sick applicants, it should be controversial for life insurers to refuse to insure the already dead, and for car insurers to refuse to insure cars that have already been wrecked.

Doing that may be required by Congress and cheered by the New York Times, but that doesn’t make it a good thing for America. It doesn’t even make it insurance. It’s welfare. We can debate whether such welfare is good policy, but let’s discuss it honestly. Calling welfare “insurance” muddies thinking.

Requiring insurance companies to cover the sick takes away insurers’ power to encourage safer behavior. This will soon turn insurance into a form of expensive, taxpayer funded welfare.

John Stossel, “Welfare, Not Insurance”, John Stossel’s Take, 2009-08-05

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